Japan boasts around 2.4 million hectares (approximately 6.4 million acres) of land dedicated to rice paddies. Given that much of Japan is mountainous, these rice plots tend to be small, making rice farming labour-intensive and low-margin work.
Most rice farmers in Japan sell less than JPY 10 million worth of rice annually and, until recently, have been exempt from charging consumption tax. However, farming rice has lost its appeal to many young people, with approximately 40% of paddies lying fallow, according to one news report.
The Allure of Japanese Rice
Japanese rice, often revered for its stickiness and texture, holds a special place in the hearts of the Japanese. Beyond its culinary appeal, rice is a significant cultural icon, woven into many festivals and ceremonies. With over 500 different types of rice, its importance stretches back to the Samurai period, when rice served as the currency, much like gold in Europe.
Rising Prices and Shortages
Today, Japan faces surging rice prices following a shortage last autumn. Several factors contribute to this trend:

- Increased Tourism: Higher numbers of tourists have boosted demand for rice.
- Weather Conditions: While poor weather allegedly lowered rice yields, this is a disputed claim.
- Declining Production Capacity: There has been a decline in production capacity.
- Protected Domestic Market: The heavily protected domestic market restricts supply and demand dynamics.
The JA Monopoly
Japan Agriculture, known as Nōkyō or JA Group, is a national organisation comprising 694 regional co-ops. JA coordinates production, packaging, shipping, and marketing of agricultural products while providing financial services. Of the 7.27 million tons of rice produced annually in Japan, JA controls approximately 3 million tons.
JA buys rice from small farmers, deciding on pricing and payment schedules. Many small farmers rely on JA for loans and equipment purchases. For years, JA has encouraged members to grow less rice while providing subsidies. The organisation has aggressively lobbied successive governments to restrict rice imports and control the amount of land used for rice cultivation. The current import tariff stands at around 340 yen per kilogram.
Arguably this monopoly has stifled innovation in rice farming.
Waning Monopoly Power?
Signs suggest that JA’s monopoly might be weakening. About 2.3 million tons of rice are now sold directly by farmers to supermarkets, e-commerce players, and others, bypassing JA’s control. Farmers have switched due to better pricing deals, leading to JA’s market share slipping from 45% in 2004 to 39% in 2023. A recent decision requiring low-turnover farmers to charge consumption tax for rice is expected to further shake up the situation.
Recommendations for Japan
- Develop a Coherent Strategy on Rice: Crafting a unified approach can help address various challenges and opportunities.
- Deregulate JA’s Monopoly: Allowing farmers more autonomy in production decisions could foster consolidation and efficiency. Whilst the JA may benefit some farmers (and some politicians), it does not act in consumers’ interests
- Encourage Innovation: Embrace outsourcing sowing and harvesting to companies with efficient equipment. There is also potential for innovation in finished products, like beauty supplements containing rice.
- Educate Consumers: Marketing the health benefits of rice more effectively can help counter the declining consumption trend.
- Target Exports: With the Japanese government promoting Washoku (traditional Japanese cuisine) as a cultural property, better marketing and lower production costs could make Japanese rice more competitive internationally.
Stockpile Strategies



In response to recent shortages, the Japanese government announced plans to release rice stockpiles earlier this month. Similar stockpile management practices are observed in other Asian countries like China, Vietnam, Thailand, and India. However, releasing stockpiles to address supply shortages and price hikes is a temporary measure and not a long-term solution.
